XRP ETFs Mark 1 Year as XRP Rebounds to $1.386 and Tests $1.40

First-generation XRP ETFs XRPR and XRPI are gaining with XRP’s rebound to $1.386, even as spot XRP funds recorded their first notable outflow. The move puts focus on structure, fees and whether a break above $1.40 can reopen upside toward $1.54.

XRP ETFs are back in focus as XRP climbed to $1.386 on September 18, a 6.94% daily gain that pushed the token to the top of its recent trading range. The move matters for the earliest U.S. XRP-linked funds, which are trying to regain momentum after a difficult first year.

The anniversary is notable for the REX-Osprey XRP ETF, ticker XRPR, which launched on September 18, 2025. Alongside the earlier Volatility Shares XRP ETF, ticker XRPI, it helped open the U.S. market for XRP exposure before cheaper spot products arrived and took most of the assets.

That backdrop makes the latest rally more than a price story. Investors are weighing whether renewed regulatory optimism and stronger XRP trading can revive demand for first-generation funds, even as the larger spot XRP ETF complex shows signs of its first meaningful wobble.

Key Facts

  • XRP traded at $1.386 on September 18, up 6.94%, near the top of its September range of $1.27 to $1.40.
  • Seven U.S. spot XRP ETFs now hold about $1 billion in assets and roughly 1.1 billion XRP.
  • XRPR held $49.81 million in assets as of September 9, while XRPI reported $140.38 million in assets under management.
  • Spot XRP funds saw an outflow of 3.97 million XRP on September 17, equal to about $5.3 million at prevailing prices.
  • XRPR charges a 0.75% expense ratio, while XRPI has a 0.94% net expense ratio and uses CME XRP futures rather than holding the token directly.

XRP ETFs

The U.S. XRP ETF market now spans several structures, but the split is increasingly clear: first-generation products got to market early, while spot funds later captured scale. XRPR used a 1940 Act structure with a Cayman subsidiary and mixed exposure to direct XRP and XRP-linked holdings. XRPI took the futures route, building exposure through CME contracts backed by cash collateral. Both paths offered access before the pure spot trust model became widely available.

That early-mover advantage did not last. Since November 2025, spot XRP ETFs have drawn far more investor interest because they hold XRP directly, avoid futures roll costs and generally offer a simpler value proposition. The result is a two-tier market. XRPR and XRPI still serve specific investor preferences, but together they account for only a modest share of the broader XRP ETF asset base.

The latest rebound in XRP matters because performance remains the main driver of flows. Both funds suffered steep declines after launching near the period when XRP traded close to its 2025 highs. If XRP can clear resistance at $1.40 and then challenge the heavier supply zone around $1.45 to $1.46, sentiment toward the older ETFs could improve. If price fails again, investors may continue shifting toward cheaper spot alternatives or away from XRP exposure altogether.

XRP’s rebound has revived the first generation of XRP ETFs, but the real test is whether performance can overcome higher costs and stronger competition from spot funds.

Why fund structure still matters

XRPR’s design helped it launch early, but that structure adds complexity. The fund has held direct XRP, an exchange-traded product in Europe, and repurchase agreements for liquidity management. That can create small tracking differences and layered costs versus a direct-holding spot fund. As of September 9, XRPR traded at a 0.93% discount to net asset value, giving buyers exposure slightly below the value of the underlying holdings.

XRPI faces a different issue: futures roll drag. Because futures expire, the fund must regularly sell maturing contracts and buy later-dated ones. When the next-month contract is more expensive, that gap reduces returns over time. The trade-off is that XRPI can generate income from the cash collateral behind those futures positions, and it has paid monthly distributions with an indicated yield around 2.58%.

Implications for Investors

For investors, the key distinction is time horizon. Short-term traders focused on XRP price swings may care less about whether exposure comes through direct holdings, a Cayman subsidiary or futures contracts. In a strong rally, those structural differences can be overshadowed by the token’s volatility. XRP moving from $1.386 to $1.5368 would imply roughly 10.9% upside for related funds before fees, roll costs or discounts to NAV are considered.

Long-term holders face a more complicated equation. XRPR’s 0.75% fee and XRPI’s 0.94% net fee are meaningful in a market where spot funds tend to be more cost-efficient. XRPI’s income feature may offset part of that burden when short-term rates are elevated, but roll costs can still erode returns over extended periods. Investors looking for strategic exposure to XRP may increasingly favor direct spot products unless they specifically want the regulatory wrapper of a 1940 Act fund or the futures-market access that XRPI offers.

Flows remain the next major signal. The September 17 outflow from spot XRP funds was small relative to XRP’s daily trading volume, but it broke a pattern of resilience. If inflows resume quickly, that would suggest the pullback was a short-lived reaction to policy uncertainty. If outflows continue, it could point to institutions rotating toward assets with clearer regulatory footing. Either way, XRPR and XRPI are likely to trade as leveraged sentiment indicators on both XRP price direction and confidence in the U.S. policy backdrop.

Investors should also watch XRP’s supply dynamics. Ripple’s regular escrow releases continue to add tokens to circulation, creating a structural headwind that ETF demand has not fully absorbed. A sustained break above $1.40 would improve the near-term chart, but the larger test sits closer to $1.45 and above.

If XRP can hold its rebound and ETF flows stabilize, the first-generation funds may yet regain relevance in a growing niche. If not, the market is likely to keep rewarding lower-cost spot structures while XRPR and XRPI remain specialized tools rather than core allocations.

Ultima Markets